Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate and Mortgage - www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

The year-end holiday season is a good time for gift-exchanging, entertaining and general merriment. But what about buying a house? Should you try to do that in November or December, too?
If you're not picky about the home you intend to buy, the answer might be yes.
Sellers tend to avoid the end of the year due to the short days, wintry weather and conventional wisdom that says buyers are otherwise occupied, says Tim Deihl, associate broker at Gibson Sotheby's International Realty in Boston. But those who do choose to sell at year-end are often under pressure and highly motivated to cut a deal.
"A seller who's looking to move a piece of real estate during the holidays is a seller who needs to sell, because nobody in their right mind would pick that as the most convenient time to list their property," Deihl says.
And that's why the year-end might be a smart time to buy: Determined house-hunters can take advantage of sellers' urgency.

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Monday, December 15, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Mortgage, and the Economy 12/15/14


Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Interest Rates Back Down Below 18 Month Lows:  If you have read this report over the last couple months you have seen us move to 30 year rates at 4.000%. This week the rates moved a small amount lower. Markets have been pushing rates up and down within a narrow range over that time. It has been a bit of a yo-yo ride as markets do not indicate a solid direction from current status. Stock markets moved down from recent historic highs this week which, was a large reason for the move lower in interest rates. Investors are making bets on future direction of the economy as many believe the world economy seems to be at a tipping point. The long run up in the stock markets, slowing Chinese economy, slowing economies in Europe and proposals by many central banks to prevent recession deflation are all factors suggesting there may be a pause in economic recovery. Those investors with this view point take risk out of their portfolios and buy securities that drive down rates. The bright light among many flickering economies is the US. The light may not be shining as bright as history suggests a recovery should be after a major recession but there is positive movement. The Chinese and European slowdowns do not help the US recovery as much of our business activity involves selling to foreign markets. Oil prices are also an indication that investors are predicting slowing world demand caused by slowing growth. Increased supply of oil is a major factor in the drop in price from over $100.00/barrel to $62.00/barrel but does not explain the severity of the drop. The drop in oil prices are causing more confidence among consumers which should be good for the economy. Current interest rate levels suggest rates will move higher from here by a small amount because, that has been the pattern over the last 2 months. If that pattern breaks then we have a new set of factors dominating market movements and a new analysis will be in order.

Industry News

"Up, up and away." Consumer sentiment and retail sales may have soared higher, but both wholesale inflation and oil prices are on the decline. What does all of this mean for the markets and home loan rates? Read on for the breakdown.
Consumer sentiment surged to 93.8 in December, reaching the highest level since January 2007 and the recent recession. In line with that sentiment, consumers also opened their wallets in November, spending money on goods ranging from cars to clothing as the holiday shopping season got underway. Retail Sales rose by 0.7 percent in November, which was the fastest rate in eight months.

One thing helping both consumer sentiment and retail sales of late is the continued decline in prices at the pump. In fact, the International Energy Agency recently cut its outlook for global oil demand growth in 2015. The markets have been especially volatile in recent weeks, and this news only added to the volatility. Despite the choppy trading in both Stocks and Bonds, home loan rates (which are tied to Mortgage Bonds) remain near historic lows.

Also of note, thanks to the decline in oil, the November Producer Price Index showed that inflation declined at the wholesale level. This is Bond-friendly news, since inflation reduces the value of fixed investments like Bonds, meaning this is also good news for home loan rates.

The bottom line is that home loan rates remain near some of their best levels of the year, and now is a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.

Real Estate Miscellaneous Stats

Lenders Reluctant To Quote Rates To Self-Employed Borrowers: A new Zillow report indicates that self-employed borrowers have a more difficult time identifying lending options. They report that self-employed receive 40% fewer loan quotes primary due to lower credit scores.  "Self-employed borrowers will no doubt face headwinds when trying to get a loan. Low credit scores, coupled with a mountain of paperwork lenders must complete specifically for self-employed borrowers, make them unattractive," said Zillow Vice President of Mortgages Erin Lantz. "So, despite self-employed borrowers with high incomes appearing on paper to be better situated to repay their loan, they're often overlooked by lenders. In cases like this, it really pays to shop around." The report goes on to say that self-employed borrowers typically have higher household incomes, Zillow reports that their incomes are 81% higher on average. They also place larger down payments and buy more expensive homes. The down side is they are twice as likely to have credit scores below 680. These factors were the motivation behind RPM’s ‘Tailored Product Line’. There are 4 different products that are targeted at self-employed borrowers. They allow credit scores as low as 660 and loan amounts as high as $4 million. These products offer truly unique solutions to challenges faced by your self-employed clients.

Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac Help Relax Lending Standards: Fannie and Freddie both released new guidelines to lenders on Monday that are intended to clarify what will prevent loan files from being purchased by them. Conforming lenders must underwrite loans to Fannie and Freddy rules in order for them to be eligible for sale. Part of the process for lenders is to predict what will disqualify a loan and that has often been done with a very subjective call on certain borrower parameters. Uncertainty about the potential disqualifications cause many lenders to add ‘overlays’ on top of standard rules in order to prevent having files rejected by the GSE’s. The recent updates by Fannie and Freddy are intended to remove much of the uncertainty by lenders giving them more confidence to approve loans. This is causing a prediction that more borrowers will be approved for loans that have been declined up to this point. I am not sure how this will impact lenders, such as RPM, that are direct sellers and do not currently have overlays on certain products. The bottom line is there is a consensus that qualified borrower are being left out of the market because of poor guidelines and this is being addressed.
Luxury Home Market Strong in Seattle Area:  A recent report showed that sales of $1 million + homes shows Seattle in the top 10.  Much of that strength has come from foreign buyers and investors but data suggests that factor is waning as the sector continues to show strength. Seattle came in at #8 behind the usual high value California markets and Houston. Sales are up over 22% in this sector from last year averaging $1.55 million. All cash sales are plummeting as foreigner sales slow. The strength of this sector is a good sign that the growth is home grown and sustainable due to local economics.
Realty Trac Identifies Potential Bubble Markets: Realty Trac has a report indicating which markets may be a bit overheated and may reverse in value. It analyzed 475 counties which represents 70% of the households. It was based on three early warning signs of a possible home price bubble: If the market was less affordable in October 2014 than its peak price during the 2005 to 2008 housing bubble; if a market was less affordable in October 2014 than its historical affordability average since January 2000; and if a market had a rising foreclosure rate on loans originated in 2014 compared to loans originated in 2013. While 99% of all markets have not returned to the overheated levels before the crash, a full 20% have exceeded their historical affordability averages. Historical averages is home liability is 28% of a median income earner purchasing a median value home. Many of the overheated markets are in areas one would expect. Many California markets are of concern but Texas is showing up as well. In those counties where home prices are approaching or exceeding historical levels, most are still near average affordability due to low interest rates. Boston, a few Texas cities and others are among those markets. Seattle area foreclosure rates are only slightly higher than historical averages. In Seattle the recent price increases would make one might think that they are well on its way to a bubble.  Recent slowdowns suggest buyers have gotten savvier and aren't overbidding at levels we saw a last year.  All three counties in the Seattle metro were more affordable than their historical levels in October. The region did have a slight increase in foreclosure rate in two of the three counties. We have a strong job market with wages that are keeping up with appreciation thanks largely to a growing tech sector. As a result, prices in Seattle are appreciating at an appropriate pace after they slowed from the double digit increases we saw last year.

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Monday, December 8, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Mortgage, and the Economy

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Interest Rates Move Off 18 Month Lows:  Interest Rates continue to move within a narrow range with 18 month low points at the bottom and about .125% higher at the top end. Rates have remained amazingly resilient in the face of some significant head winds that would normally move them higher. Rates usually move higher when stock markets move higher. That has not been the case recently. Stock market indexes continue to move higher and are not past historic levels. They are moving higher primarily due to a search for yield by investors all over the world. Stock and bond markets in most parts of the world are languishing under anemic economic conditions as compared with the US. This is causing money to move in to our markets which increases values. This is the same situation with bonds where yields in Europe are low as compared to their economic activity. This is causing money from international sources to buy our bonds which is keeping our interest rates low. This week rates moved higher after a jobs number came in very favorably. The economy continues to show signs of recovery even though it is not robust enough to address concerns of middle class wage earners. Inflation remains low, wages are moving slightly higher, US currency is getting stronger, oil prices are moving lower and consumer confidence is up. All of this exists while economies in Europe, Japan and China are slowing. This gives us a wonderful set of circumstances of low rates and growing economic activity and stock markets in the US. For now we do not see those circumstances changing.  

Industry News

"Start me up." The Rolling Stones. The labor sector has kicked into high gear, with job growth in November far exceeding expectations.
The November Jobs Report showed that 321,000 jobs were created, far above the 230,000 expected. In addition, 44,000 jobs were added to September's and October's figures. This report marks the tenth straight month of 200,000 plus job growth, which is the longest stretch since 1994.

Another positive in the report is that the Unemployment Rate held steady at 5.8 percent. However, there is one thing to watch in future months: Hourly Earnings came in double expectations. If future months show this is the start of a trend, inflation talk could heat up. Remember that inflation is bad for Bonds, as it reduces the value of fixed investments like Bonds. This means inflation can also cause home loan rates to worsen, as they are tied to Mortgage Bonds. But the main takeaway is that the labor market and overall economy continue to improve, and these improvements should provide a boost to the housing market.

Speaking of housing, research firm CoreLogic reported that home prices (including distressed sales) rose by 6.1 percent from October 2013 to October 2014. This is up from the 5.6 percent annual gain recorded in September, halting a seven-month slowdown. Home price gains are at more normal levels now, after the double digit gains seen earlier in the year.

Even though the strong Jobs Report caused volatility in the markets, home loan rates remain near some of their best levels of the year, and now is a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.

Real Estate Miscellaneous Stats

Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac Help Relax Lending Standards: Fanny and Freddie both released new guidelines to lenders on Monday that are intended to clarify what will prevent loan files from being purchased by them. Conforming lenders must underwrite loans to Fannie and Freddy rules in order for them to be eligible for sale. Part of the process for lenders is to predict what will disqualify a loan and that has often been done with a very subjective call on certain borrower parameters. Uncertainty about the potential disqualifications cause many lenders to add ‘overlays’ on top of standard rules in order to prevent having files rejected by the GSE’s. The recent updates by Fannie and Freddy are intended to remove much of the uncertainty by lenders giving them more confidence to approve loans. This is causing a prediction that more borrowers will be approved for loans that have been declined up to this point. I am not sure how this will impact lenders, such as RPM, that are direct sellers and do not currently have overlays on certain products. The bottom line is there is a consensus that qualified borrower are being left out of the market because of poor guidelines and this is being addressed.
Luxury Home Market Strong in Seattle Area:  A recent report showed that sales of $1 million + homes shows Seattle in the top 10.  Much of that strength has come from foreign buyers and investors but data suggests that factor is waning as the sector continues to show strength. Seattle came in at #8 behind the usual high value California markets and Houston. Sales are up over 22% in this sector from last year averaging $1.55 million. All cash sales are plummeting as foreigner sales slow. The strength of this sector is a good sign that the growth is home grown and sustainable due to local economics.
Northwest MLS Report For October: The new report summarizing October activity shows year-over-year gains in new listings, pending sales, closed sales and prices.
Northwest MLS members reported pending sales last month up nearly 6.9 percent from twelve months ago.  New listings that are coming on the market are receiving a substantially higher than normal sales activity in many market areas. More central markets are still experiencing a large backlog of buyers looking for homes while some outlying markets have seen a slowdown in competition for listings.
Although the pace of sales has slowed somewhat since June, agent managers say demand is steady, with about half of all new listings selling in the first 30 days. Last month,   pending sales of single family homes and condominiums outpaced the number of new listings. A comparison of total inventory shows a drop of nearly 3.7 percent from a year ago. At month end there were 23,501 active listings across 21 counties in the MLS database. That's nearly 900 fewer listings than the year-ago total of 24,391.
Statewide inventory at the end of October stood at 3.24 months, a slight drop from the previous month's figure of 3.7 months. In King County there is less than two months of supply, well below the four-to-six month level that many industry analysts use as a gauge of a balanced market. An exception to that is Snohomish county which had gains in inventory. As the selection expands, buyers who have been on the sidelines are being lured back into the market, according to MLS director John Deely, principal managing broker at Coldwell Banker Bain in Seattle. Deely observed  sellers are now seeing brisk activity and even multiple offers after adjusting their prices after they had languished on the market. This suggests buyers have become more sensitive to price and are watching inventory closely.
Closed sales were over 7500 for October. Prices on those sales were up 7 percent, rising from an area-wide median price of $271,000 to $290,000. Four counties reported double-digit price hikes, led by San Juan County, where prices jumped 18.4 percent, and Snohomish County, with a 17.4 percent year-over-year gain.
Brokers consensus is it is vital to property price listings under current conditions where buyer’s have been wary of recent price increases. Many buyers have to be selective and not enter in to bidding wars as student debt and down payment hurdles cap their ability to compete. Attention on listings suggests buyers are watching for level of interest before making offers hoping to stay out of competitive situations. This often does not work as others seem to do the same thing.
Northwest MLS brokers also commented on distressed sales and upticks in remodeling and new construction.
Local brokers point to the promise of increases in new construction by local builders, a positive economic forecast for the region, and more homeowners surfacing from being "under water" and now able to sell due to increase in appreciation. This creates conditions for 2015  gearing up to be as active if not more so than 2014.
                                                                                                        
Corelogic Report Shows National Strength For October:  Corelogic recent report shows many markets are approaching their historic highs with nine states actually exceeding historic highs. This makes for the 32nd consecutive month of price increases for the overall US. All states saw annual price increases but 27 are nearing full recovery defined as being within 10% of historic highs. Most of the 9 states exceeding their historic highs are in the middle of the country including Colorado, Wyoming, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Tennessee, and Texas. Individual markets within states with strong recoveries were noted including Seattle. The report noted moderating price increases with most markets increasing at half their Spring 2014 pace.

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate - 12 Ways to Get the Lowest Mortgage Rates!

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

If you’re considering refinancing your mortgage, you’re likely to be looking for the lowest possible mortgagerefinance rate. Before you start shopping around for the lowest rates, you should establish your objectives and prepare your finances to improve your chances of qualifying for the lowest interest rate.
“First, figure out the best loan product to meet your financial goals, and then you can start looking for the most competitive mortgage rates,” says Michael Jablonski, executive vice president and retail production manager for BB&T Mortgage in Wilson, North Carolina.
To get the lowest mortgage refinance rates, first prepare your finances and then shop for interest rates with certain strategies in mind. Here are 12 ways to ensure you lock in the lowest refinance rate possible:

No.1: Raise your credit score

"Typically, a credit score of 740 or higher puts borrowers in the best tier for a conventional loan program," says Michael Smith, first vice president – business development manager for mortgage lending for California Bank and Trust in San Diego.
Most lenders require a minimum credit score of 620 to 640, but you'll pay a higher mortgage rate for conventional loans unless your score is 740 or above. However, some portfolio lenders set their own guidelines.

No. 2: Lower your debt

Paying bills on time and paying down your credit card balance can reduce your debt-to-income ratio (DTI), which improves your chances of qualifying for a low mortgage rate, says Jablonski.
"Don't buy a new car, make other major purchases or fill out multiple credit applications before you refinance, because all of those actions can hurt your credit profile," says Smith.
Even if you have a high credit score, you may be denied a refinance altogether or subjected to higher interest rates if your DTI ratio is too high, says Jablonski.

No. 3: Increase your home equity

Remember that your credit scores and the loan-to-value ratio of your property could have a much bigger impact on your refinance rate than a slight shift in average mortgage rates, says Malcolm Hollensteiner, director of retail lending sales for TD Bank in Vienna, Virginia.
"Both a lower-than-average credit score and a high loan-to-value can lead to a more expensive interest rate," he says.
If you are underwater on your mortgage, a Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP) loan may be your best option.

No. 4: Organize your financial documentation

You should get your credit reports from all three bureaus to make sure there are no mistakes that need correcting before you apply for a refinance, says Smith.
A refinance application typically requires two years of tax returns with W2s, two recent pay stubs, and your two most recent bank and investment statements.
"Gathering these materials ahead of time can expedite the loan process and prevent you from paying extra for an extension of your rate lock," says Smith.

No. 5: Save cash for closing costs

Closing costs average about 2 percent of the loan amount.
"You can pay cash for the closing costs or, if you have enough equity, you can roll these costs into your new loan," says Hollensteiner. "Another option that some lenders offer is to pay a higher interest rate for a lender credit to cover those costs."

Shop smart for your refinance

Once your preparations are complete, you can begin to shop around for the refinance that works best for you.

No. 6: Start online

Deborah Ames Naylor, executive vice president of Pentagon Federal Credit Union in Alexandria, Virginia, recommends starting online with a refinance calculator that estimates your monthly payments at various loan terms.
"A shorter term loan will have a lower interest rate than a 30-year fixed-rate loan, but the payment will be higher because you're paying it off faster," says Naylor. "It's important to decide what payment you're comfortable making before you see a lender, because that payment could be much less than the payment you qualify for."

No. 7: Decide on a loan term

Barry Habib, founder and CEO of MBS Highway in New York City, says the loan term you choose needs to be made in the context of your other financial obligations and plans.
"If you have $30,000 in credit card debt and no savings for college, you may want to go for a 30-year loan to keep the payments as low as possible," says Habib. "Someone else may want a shorter term to build equity faster while another borrower might want a longer loan so they can keep their tax deduction as long as possible."

No. 8: Talk to multiple lenders

Once you’ve decided on your loan term ,it’s time to research loan products available from a credit union, a regional or community bank, a direct lender and a national bank to find out what special programs they offer, says Naylor.
"Many lenders offer 'portfolio loans,' ones they keep in-house instead of selling on the secondary market," she says. "They can be more flexible with those loans and offer special promotions."
Instead of choosing a lender solely based on current mortgage rates, Russ Anderson, senior vice president and a centralized sales executive with Bank of America in Los Angeles, says you need to find a lender you can trust. "People get too wrapped up in the rate rather than finding someone who will communicate with them," he says. "You need to find someone you trust, who will be engaged in your family's financial situation."

No. 9: Review all your loan options

Lenders can discuss various loan products when you interview them.
"There's a broad product mix of conventional financing, government-backed programs like FHA loans and special refinancing programs through the Making Home Affordable program," says Anderson. "A good lender can present the pros and cons of each of these programs in the context of your individual finances."

No. 10: Decide how you will finance your refinance

You’ll also need to decide how to pay for your refinance. Closing costs and lender fees can be paid at closing, wrapped into your loan balance or you can opt for a "no-cost" refinance.
"A no-cost refinance means that your lender will pay the fees and you'll pay a slightly higher interest rate of one-eighth to one-fourth percent," says Habib.
HSH.com's refinance calculator can help you decide the best way to finance your refinance.

No. 11: Compare mortgage rates and fees

Advertised mortgage rates are sometimes based on paying points, so you need to make sure you compare loans with zero points or the same number of points.
"It's important to shop for the same loan on the same day to get a true comparison of mortgage rates, because mortgage rates change every day," says Smith. "You need to explain to each loan officer all the criteria for your refinance, not just ask 'what's today's rate on a $200,000 loan?' You should also ask about loan processing times."
Shopping by APR can be confusing, since different lender fees and policies can affect the outcome. It is possible for two loans to have identical rates and fees and different APRs. Conversely, two loans could have the same APR but different interest rates. Because of this, it is usually better for you to focus instead on the two most important components of APR: interest rate and fees.
The most important component of your refinance will generally be the interest rate, so you'll of course want to pay attention to that. Fees and closing costs matter, but whether you want or need to pay them will depend upon your situation. There are times when paying costs to obtain the lowest possible rate can make sense and times when it does not.

No. 12: Know when to lock-in your rate

Once you’ve finalized your loan decision you should consult your lender about when to lock-in your rate.
"Processing times for different lenders can range from 30 to 45 days to more than 90 days," says Smith. "Typically, lenders will do a 30- or 45-day rate lock, so you should be consulting with your lender to determine the appropriate day to lock your loan. If you have to extend the lock or re-lock your loan, that will likely cost you more money."
While shopping around for a refinance may take a little longer than refinancing with your current lender, the rewards can last as long as your loan.

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Monday, November 10, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate - Interest Rate Drop

Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com

Interest Rates Move Lower:  The markets continue to suggest that there is indecision as to the future of market recovery. The stock market has roared back after a brief 10% correction and hit new historical highs this week. While those highs are incremental increases one would normally think that the bond markets would suffer pushing interest rates higher. The services and experts I watch have been suggesting that there is another rally pending in the bond market which would push rates lower. That looked like a good prediction as rates held ground during the stock market rally and moved back toward 18 month lows after a small move higher last week. The move lower in rates was largely caused by the Friday jobs report. While the numbers looked positive, the details suggest many of the jobs were created in low income sectors and included some holiday temp positions. The overall job numbers continue to suggest a tepid recovery with stagnant wages. This is holding down confidence in the economy by most market observers even though the stock market increases reflect strength among larger companies. Until the job market recovery gains in strength, the recovery in Real Estate will be muted. For now interest rates look to remain low and possibly move lower.

Industry News

"Every day you may make progress." Winston Churchill. The labor market has made great strides this year, as the economy has averaged 229,000 new jobs per month in 2014, the fastest pace since 1999. However, key details in the latest report show more progress is needed.
The October Jobs Report showed that 214,000 jobs were created, below the 235,000 expected. Of importance to note: a big percentage of the gains were concentrated in retailers, restaurants and bars—all of which typically increase ahead of the holidays.

On the surface, there was good news as the Unemployment Rate fell to 5.8 percent from 5.9 percent, reaching its lowest rate since July 2008. However, wage growth remains tepid, as hourly earnings rose by only 3 cents, with the year-over-year increase at just 2 percent. And the Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) came in at 62.8 percent, still near the lows last seen in 1978. The LFPR measures the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, and it should be moving higher in a recovery.

In housing news, research firm CoreLogic reported that home prices, including distressed sales, rose at an annual pace of 5.6 percent in September. This was the slowest annual rate since August 2012, and well below the 11.8 percent gain recorded this past February. Housing price gains are definitely trending lower after their meteoric highs last year.

The bottom line is that home loan rates remain near some of their best levels of the year, and now is a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.

Real Estate Miscellaneous Stats

Northwest MLS Report For October: The new report summarizing October activity shows year-over-year gains in new listings, pending sales, closed sales and prices.
Northwest MLS members reported pending sales last month up nearly 6.9 percent from twelve months ago.  New listings that are coming on the market are receiving a substantially higher than normal sales activity in many market areas. More central markets are still experiencing a large backlog of buyers looking for homes while some outlying markets have seen a slowdown in competition for listings.
Although the pace of sales has slowed somewhat since June, agent managers say demand is steady, with about half of all new listings selling in the first 30 days. Last month,   pending sales of single family homes and condominiums outpaced the number of new listings. A comparison of total inventory shows a drop of nearly 3.7 percent from a year ago. At month end there were 23,501 active listings across 21 counties in the MLS database. That's nearly 900 fewer listings than the year-ago total of 24,391.
Statewide inventory at the end of October stood at 3.24 months, a slight drop from the previous month's figure of 3.7 months. In King County there is less than two months of supply, well below the four-to-six month level that many industry analysts use as a gauge of a balanced market. An exception to that is Snohomish county which had gains in inventory. As the selection expands, buyers who have been on the sidelines are being lured back into the market, according to MLS director John Deely, principal managing broker at Coldwell Banker Bain in Seattle. Deely observed  sellers are now seeing brisk activity and even multiple offers after adjusting their prices after they had languished on the market. This suggests buyers have become more sensitive to price and are watching inventory closely.
Closed sales were over 7500 for October. Prices on those sales were up 7 percent, rising from an area-wide median price of $271,000 to $290,000. Four counties reported double-digit price hikes, led by San Juan County, where prices jumped 18.4 percent, and Snohomish County, with a 17.4 percent year-over-year gain.
Brokers consensus is it is vital to property price listings under current conditions where buyer’s have been wary of recent price increases. Many buyers have to be selective and not enter in to bidding wars as student debt and down payment hurdles cap their ability to compete. Attention on listings suggests buyers are watching for level of interest before making offers hoping to stay out of competitive situations. This often does not work as others seem to do the same thing.
Northwest MLS brokers also commented on distressed sales and upticks in remodeling and new construction.
Local brokers point to the promise of increases in new construction by local builders, a positive economic forecast for the region, and more homeowners surfacing from being "under water" and now able to sell due to increase in appreciation. This creates conditions for 2015  gearing up to be as active if not more so than 2014.
                                                                                                        
Case Shiller August Report Indicates Changing Market :  Most recent housing numbers support what many agents have experienced over the last few months. Distressed sales are down, listings are up, listings are taking longer to sell, competition for listings has dropped and buyers are just not as urgent. As a result home values are increasing more slowly, Case Shiller reports that values in King, Snohomish and Pierce Counties were flat from July to August and were up 6.6% from one year prior. Some of the hottest markets slowed more dramatically such as major southern California cities and Las Vegas. While local price increases have slowed they are still robust. Most are concerned that continued price increases of 6% will slow the market because of affordability factors. Slowing Seattle area price increases have continued for the last 6 months and are likely to continue. Home prices in the area are now equal to August 2006 levels and are still 11% below peak values. Real Estate continues to be held back by slow job growth, slow wage growth, lack of equity for many potential move up buyers and lack of adequate first time buyers.


September Home Sales Surge in September:   Pending Home Sales in Western Washington surge 13% in September from the same time last year according to the NAR. Listings are also up so inventory only declined 1.2%. Market analysts suggest that there will be a leveling off but not a slow period  in our market activity as long as pricing increases stay at recent lower levels and interest rates do not rise. Our markets are currently out performing national readings. Closed sales for September also were up from last year by 4.6%. King County median value is up 9.5% from last year but, much of this could be due to the strength in the luxury market. OB Jacobi, president of Windermere Real Estate, noted luxury home sales in the Greater Seattle area have been very strong, with agents reporting stiff competition in certain segments of the market, especially for homes over $2 million. “I attribute this to Seattle’s economic boom, which is attracting an increasing number of high-paying, executive level professionals and international interest,” he remarked. Market experts stress the importance of not overvaluing a listing as buyers are informed about fair market pricing. King County supply is at 2.3 months and Snohomish County is at 2.8. International buyers, primarily from Asia, are a big part of local sales mostly on the Eastside. Home prices in Seattle 12% from 1 year ago to $517,000.00. Median prices in Bellevue is up 6.3% to $605,000.00 and Snohomish County was up 8.4% to $330,000.00. Stephen O’Conner with the UW Runstad Real Estate school expects the market to remain hot through the end of the year but says many buyers are still watching on the sidelines.

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Friday, October 31, 2014

Snoqualmie Pass Living - Rates Drop Again - Time to Refi?

Maybe it’s time to refinance again?
A weekly survey released by Freddie Mac on Thursday shows that 30-year, fixed-rate mortgages averaged 3.97 percent this week, down from 4.12 percent last week and 4.28 percent a year ago.
That’s the first rate dip below 4 percent in 16 months. Rates were pushed down by the chaos that erupted on the stock market Wednesday as investors reacted to the financial malaise weakening Europe and Asia, disappointing data on U.S. spending, and jitters about the Ebola outbreak.
“We never thought we’d see a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage below 4 percent again,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie’s chief economist. “That’s a window of opportunity for so many people.”

Usually, borrowers refinance if they can save at least half a percentage point on their interest rate. Ultimately, the decision should turn on a number of factors, including how much they owe on their mortgages and how long they plan to stay in their homes, Nothaft said.
Moving in six months? Refinancing may not make sense, even if your rate drops an entire percentage point. The cost of refinancing may exceed the savings. Find out if your lender will charge fees or require you to pay for a new appraisal and title insurance.
Also, even all these years after the housing bust, your home value still may be so low that you may not have more than 20 percent equity in your property – in which case you’d have to pay private mortgage insurance on a new loan. On the flip side, with home prices climbing in the past two years, you may now have equity to refinance and get rid of your mortgage insurance.
As for the size of the loan, consider the difference a half-percentage-point rate drop can make on a large balance versus a small one. A homeowner would save $183 a month on a $625,500 loan if the rate is cut from 4.47 percent to 3.97 percent. The monthly savings on a $100,000 balance: $29.
Consumer advocates generally say that if homeowners see a rate that works for them, they should grab it. Just like stocks, interest rates fluctuate all day long, and the potential savings can disappear in a flash.
When the stock market went haywire Wednesday morning, for instance, the average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage dropped by a quarter of a percentage point from where it was the previous day, said Bob Walters, chief economist at Quicken Loans. To move an eighth of a percentage point in a day is unusual, Walters said. A quarter-percentage-point drop is downright dramatic.
But anyone who waited too long could not reap that benefit. “By the end of day, we’d gone all the way back up and finished where we had finished the previous day,” Walters said. “The opportunity to take advantage of that quarter of a percent drop lasted for a very short period of time.”
Snoqualmie Pass Real Estate, Snoqualmie Pass Properties, Snoqualmie Pass Homes, Snoqualmie Pass Lots, http://www.snoqualmiepassliving.com